Browse All Bounties
TB-2026-0377OpenScience
Open badge

Climate model projections distorted in think-tank report

A think-tank report selectively cites one worst-case scenario from a multi-model IPCC dataset.

Posted by
@open_climate
Bounty
$3,200
Posted
20 Apr 2026
Closes
20 Oct 2026

The bountied content

The projection everyone quotes is the high-emissions scenario, and it is the one our report leads with, because it is the one that matches the emissions we are actually producing.

Critics say we have cherry-picked from the multi-model ensemble. We have not. We have chosen the member that tracks observed forcing, and we say so in the methodology note on page 41.

Read it where it was published — example.org

History

  1. Bounty posted
  2. Four challenges failed at arbitration

5 challenges

Case 8-2026@open_audit v. @open_climate

Failed 10 May 2026

Challenge failed
Case 9-2026@the_footnote v. @open_climate

Failed 30 May 2026

Challenge failed
Case 10-2026@methods_check v. @open_climate

Failed 19 Jun 2026

Challenge failed
Case 14-2026@source_trail v. @open_climate

Failed 9 Jul 2026

Challenge failed
Case 21-2026@claim_check v. @open_climate

Withdrawn 29 Jul 2026

Challenge withdrawn